Program

Preliminary Agenda

The 2026 International Conference on Public Economic Theory

Hosted by Fundação Getulio Vargas · Rio de Janeiro · July 20-23

Agenda

July 20, Monday

Afternoon

16:30 - 17:00

Welcome Cocktail

17:00 - 18:00

Opening Lecture

  • Lars Hansen
    The University of Chicago

Agenda

July 21, Tuesday

Morning

8:00 - 9:00

Welcome Desk and Coffee

9:00 - 11:00

Parallel Sessions

Climate Change, Taxation & Risk
  • Carola Theunisz
    Erasmus School of Economics
    Environmental Bank Regulation and Corporate Lending Technology
  • Ariaster Chimeli
    FEA-USP
    Trading Lives: Firm Dynamics, Pollution, and Mortality in the Wake of the China Shock
  • Marcelo Sant'Anna
    FGV EPGE
    Powerful Forests: The Welfare Implications of Deforestation for the Power Sector
  • Klenio Barbosa
    SKEMA Business School
    Financing Climate Change Mitigation Projects: Cost and Environmental Performance of Government Green Bonds

Courts, Credit & Firm Networks
  • Dimas Fazio
    NUS
    Court Quality and Propagation of Supply Chain Shocks
  • Gil Nogueira
    Banco de Portugal
    Judicial Enforcement, Credit Frictions, and the Transmission of Bankruptcy through Firm Networks
  • Pedro Amoni
    Insper
    Judicial Discretion, Credit, and the Real Economy
  • Rafael Ferreira
    FEA USP
    Bankruptcy Outcomes in Congested Courts: Evidence from Brazil

IPEA: Macro, Development & GE
  • Elcyon Lima
    UERJ
    Macroeconomic Effects of Subsidized Credit
  • Marco Cavalcanti
    IPEA
    Fiscal Multipliers in an Emerging Economy.
  • Felipe Morelli da Silva
    IPEA
    Economic and Sectoral Impacts of a Carbon Market in Brazil: A Dynamic Recursive Computable General Equilibrium Analysis.
  • Thiago Martinez
    IPEA and UERJ
    Regional Subsidies in Investment Networks.

General Equilibrium, Growth & Utility Theory
  • Xinyang Wang
    ITAM
    Equilibrium Stability and Uniqueness with a Large Number of Commodities and Patient Consumers
  • Wilfredo Sosa
    UCB
    A theoretical mathematical model for endogenous growth including the environment
  • Jean-Pierre Drugeon
    PSE
    Towards an Axiomatic Foundation for Recursive Utility under Taste Ambiguity
  • Kaosu Matsumori
    Hitotsubashi University
    Interpersonal Comparison of Utility from Neural Signals: Implications for Welfare Aggregation and Redistribution

Mechanism Design and Information
  • Endre Csóka
    Alfréd Rényi Institute of Mathematics
    Efficiency and Collusion-Proofness in Dynamic Mechanism Design
  • Andrew Choi
    University of Michigan
    Providing Certainty
  • Constantine Sorokin
    University of Glasgow
    Adverse Selection in Teams
  • Ricardo Fonseca
    Bogota
    Keeping Experts Honest

Economics of Education: Empirical Advances and Policy Lessons
  • Bruno Ogava
    FGV EPGE
    Universal Preschool and Educational Inequality: Evidence from Brazil
  • Caio Miguez
    FGV EPGE
    Marginal Treatment Effects of Childcare on Cognitive Skills: Evidence from Brazil
  • Vitor Pereira
    UFRJ
    The Effects of Community-Based Preschool on Child Development in Rural Mozambique: Evidence from a Randomized Experiment
  • Gabriel Sallum
    FGV EPGE
    School Funding, Teacher’s Labor Market, and Student Outcomes

Redistribution, Predistribution & Social Insurance
  • Sebastian Koehne
    Kiel University
    Redistribution with unequal life expectancy
  • Carlos da Costa
    FGV EPGE
    Optimal Risk Sharing and Incentive Provision in Social Security Systems
  • Luca Micheletto
    University of Milan
    Predistribution, redistribution, and the education of the Joneses
  • Aart Gerritsen
    Erasmus School of Economics
    To redistribute or to predistribute? The minimum wage versus income taxation when workers differ in both wages and working hours

11:00 - 11:30

Coffee Break

11:30 - 12:30

Keynote Speaker

  • James Heckman
    The University of Chicago
12:30 - 14:00

Lunch Break

Agenda

July 21, Tuesday

Afternoon

14:00 - 15:30

Parallel Sessions

IPEA-RBECrim: Economics of Crime

Opening Remarks by Marcelo Justus and Daniel Cerqueira

  • Leonardo Schmitz Mosca
    IPARDES
    Direct and Indirect Effects of the Implementation of the Federal Penitentiary System on Crime in Brazil.
  • Eduardo Almeida
    UFJF
    Estimation of the Deterrence Effect of the Police Using the Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro.
  • Bruno Truzzi
    PUC Campinas / IPEA
    Cash Transfers, Human Capital, and Youth Lethal Violence: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Bolsa Trabalho Program in Osasco, Brazil

Public Sector & SOEs
  • Emilson Silva
    Auckland
    Dynamics of fiscal habits and soft budgets in federations
  • Marcio Garcia
    PUC Rio
    Measuring Financial Subsidies to SOEs: A New Asset Return-Based Framework
  • Johan Willner
    Åbo Akademi University
    State Ownership in Mixed Markets – an Instrument for Social Justice?

Climate Policy & Dynamic Resource Games
  • Mikhail Pakhnin
    Universitat de les Illes Balears
    Carbon Budget Depletion under Country Heterogeneity
  • Hassan Benchekroun
    McGill University
    When OPEC Leads and the Fringe Follows: A Climate Story
  • Guillaume Roger
    Monash University
    Preemption equilibrium in a storage game

Taxation in Production Networks
  • Felipe Lobel
    Duke
    Market Power and VAT Incidence Along the Production Network
  • Perla Rocha
    EPGE
    Who Pays the Price? Distributional Effects of Tax Uniformity in a Network Economy
  • Miguel Orrillo
    IPEA
    Sector-Differentiated Tax Exemptions in Investment Networks

Matching Markets
  • Gustavo Quinderé Saraiva
    PUC Chile
    Manipulation of Attractiveness in Two-Sided Matching Markets
  • Gabriela Denis
    Universidad de Chile
    Multi-level Matching Markets
  • Lorena Hakak
    FGV RI
    Marriage and Education Decisions in Post-Migration Settings

Macroeconomic Dynamics & Optimal Policy
  • Marcos Poplawski-Ribeiro
    IMF
    Welfare Analysis of Income-Stabilization Policies in a HANK Model with Unemployment Risk
  • Stéphane Bouché
    Universitat de les Illes Balears
    Wealth Distribution in the Perpetual Youth Model
  • Rodrigo Raad
    UFMG
    On Time Consistency and Equilibrium Existence in a Ramsey-Friedman-Stackelberg Model

15:30 - 16:00

Coffee Break

16:00 - 17:30

Parallel Sessions

Energy Markets & Environmental IO
  • Luca Colombo
    Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
    Conflict Over Renewable Energy Facilities, Multiple Externalities and Community Ownership
  • Rogerio Mazali
    UNB
    Large Prosumers in Energy Markets Subject to Weather Risk
  • Jorge Zamorano
    Universidad de Santiago de Chile
    Extended Producer Responsibility under Uncertainty and Market Power

Corporate, Capital & Resource Taxation
  • Santiago Pinto
    Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
    Corporate Income Tax, Formula Apportionment, and Multi-regional Firms
  • Igo Dobbe
    Erasmus University Rotterdam
    Optimal taxation of risky capital
  • Luca Colombo
    Rennes School of Business
    Efficiency-Inducing Lump Sum Taxation in Non-renewable Resource Industries

Labor Markets, Informality & Ageing
  • Paolo Naticchioni
    Università Roma Tre
    Remote Work and Labor Market Power
  • Caio Bloise
    Insper
    The Labor-Market Effects of Conditional Cash Transfer with Informality
  • Daniele Patiti
    King's College London
    Retirement Policy, Workforce Ageing, and Regional Productivity

Fair Division & Evaluation Rules
  • Ricardo Martinez
    Universidad de Granada
    Proportional redistribution
  • Danilo Coelho
    IPEA
    Selecting Winners or Excluding Losers: A Duality Approach to Bilateral Multiwinner Compromise
  • Yufei Li
    Tsinghua University
    The Participation Cost of Rank-Consistent Bayesian Scoring

Complementarities and Games
  • Pedro Jara
    Universidad de Santiago de Chile
    Public Coordination in Small Social Movements
  • Oscar Volij
    Ben Gurion University
    Beauty Contests: Beyond Gaussian Uncertainty
  • Lucas de Lara
    Columbia University
    Rational Choice Overload

Credit Markets and Pricing
  • Rosina Rodriguez
    Universidad de la República
    Who Borrows from Whom? Market Segmentation in Consumer Loans
  • Rafael Costa Lima
    UFPE
    Buy now, pay later
  • Myrna Wooders
    Vanderbilt University
    Small group effectiveness, a representative consumer, and pricing objects

17:30 - 18:00

Coffee Break

18:00 - 19:30

Policy Session: Education

Speakers TBD

18:00 - 19:30

Policy Session: TBD

Speakers TBD

Agenda

July 22, Wednesday

Morning

8:00 - 9:00

Coffee

9:00 - 11:00

Parallel Sessions

IPEA: Race, Inequality & Labor
  • Michael França
    Insper
    50 Shades of Guilt: Exploring the Role of Race in Drug Trafficking Indictment in Brazil
  • Alexandre Marinho
    IPEA / UERJ
    Technical efficiency in employment rates among uneducated Black Women across Brazilian Macro-Regions: A Stochastic Frontier Analysis
  • Vivian Nascimento
    UERJ
    Higher Education, Affirmative Action Policies, and the Trajectories of the Black Brazilian Population in the Labor Market
  • Eduardo Fagundes
    IPEA
    Affirmative Action and Selection into Federal Public Careers: Evidence from a Nationwide Exam in Brazil

Matching
  • Alexander Nesterov
    HSE University, St.Petersburg
    Balancing Incentives and Efficiency via Constrained Deferred Acceptance
  • Inacio Bo
    University of Macau
    Visibly Fair Mechanisms
  • Manshu Khanna
    HSE University, St.Petersburg
    Reserve System with Beneficiary - Share Guarantee
  • Guillaume Haeringer
    Baruch College
    Epistemic Stability for Assignment Problems

Contests, Public Goods & Experimental Games
  • Yizhi Wang
    Tianjin University
    Tournament with Network Spillovers
  • Guillaume Cheikbossian
    Université de Montpellier
    Evolutionary branching of social preferences in a public good provision game
  • Andreas Orland
    Corvinus University of Budapest
    Playing Prisoner’s Dilemma Games with a Large Language Model

Information and Markets
  • João Thereze
    Duke University (Fuqua)
    Delegated Contracting
  • Lucas Maestri
    FGV EPGE
    TBD
  • Henrique de Oliveira
    FGV EESP
    Dynamic Information Design via Deviation Rules
  • Caio Lorecchio
    University of Barcelona
    Multilateral Bargaining with Informational Spillovers

Macro & Fiscal-Monetary
  • Rodrigo Myiamoto
    FGV EPGE
    Blaming the Wrong Policymaker? Fiscal Imbalances Behind Brazil’s Inflation Target Misses
  • André Lelis
    FGV EPGE
    Fiscal-Monetary Policy Interactions in Brazil: Evidence from a Model with Partial Fiscal Backing
  • Rafael Chaves Santos
    FGV EPGE
    Theory Meets Algorithms: Inflation Forecasting in Brazil
  • Enrico Giaretta
    FGV EPGE
    Optimal Inflation Targets under Fiscal Fragility and Imperfect Information

11:00 - 11:30

Coffee Break

11:30 - 12:30

Keynote Speakers

  • Pierre-André Chiappori
    Columbia University
  • Flávio Cunha
    Rice University
12:30 - 14:00

Lunch Break

Agenda

July 22, Wednesday

Afternoon

14:00 - 15:30

Parallel Sessions

Climate, Policy, and Politics
  • Rafael Araujo
    FGV EESP
    When Clouds Go Dry: An Integrated Model of Deforestation, Rainfall, and Agriculture
  • Juliano Assunção
    PUC Rio and CPI
    The Role of Sanctions and Spillovers in Forest Conservation
  • Francisco Costa
    FGV EPGE
    Conservation Policy with Political Resistance

IPEA: Gender & Public Policy
  • Carlos Costa
    FGV EPGE
    Gender-specific subsidies and female empowerment in optimal taxation.
  • Andrea Flores
    FGV EPGE
    Intrahousehold Inequality, Family Structure, and Public Policy.
  • Paula Pereda
    USP
    Mothers, Daughters, and the Sexual Division of Labor
  • Camila Soares
    IPEA
    Early Childhood Development in Vulnerable Neighborhoods: the case of São Paulo.

Macro-Finance & Asset Pricing
  • Joan Robles
    Universidad Nacional de Colombia
    Time Partitioning in Non-Recombining HJM Trees for Prepayable Loan Valuation
  • Felipe Iachan
    FGV EPGE
    Spatial Risk Premia in Residential Real Estate
  • Diego de Sousa Rodrigues
    Quebec
    Inventories matter for the transmission of monetary policy: uncovering the cost-of-carry channel

Political Information & Accountability
  • Bruno Amat
    Wisconsin
    When Wholesalers Join the Cartel: Prices, Markups, and Rent Sharing
  • Vinícius Tiné
    PIMES
    Political accountability with uncertainty in voter information
  • Bernd Theilen
    Universitat Rovira i Virgili
    Downward risk, upward opportunity, and support for radical parties

Adverse Selection & Insurance
  • Daniel Gottlieb
    USC Marshall
    Regulating Inaction: The Case of Price Walking
  • Henique Castro Pires
    HBS
    Incentives and Selection
  • Chistopher Sandamann
    LSE
    Market Structure and Adverse Selection

Constructing God
  • Alan Miller
    Western University
    Holding Aggregation
  • Luciano de Castro
    University of Iowa (Tippie)
    Are Firms Risk Averse
  • Alvaro Sandroni
    Northwestern University (Kellogg)

15:30 - 16:00

Coffee Break

16:00 - 17:30

Parallel Sessions

Regulation, Resources & Public-Good Provision
  • Paola Labrecciosa
    ESSCA School of Management
    The Virtue of Double Marginalization: Vertical Structure and the Management of Renewable Resources
  • Elshan Garashli
    University of Graz
    Bargaining Power Weights Are Not Portable: Realized Position and Protocol Choice in Supply Chains
  • Eddie Schlee
    Arizona State University
    Optimal Public-Good Regulation with Consumer Risk Aversion and Income Effects

Social Insurance & Life-Cycle Programs
  • Pierre Pestieau
    Université de Liège
    Public pensions and LTC insurance with family solidarity
  • Helmuth Cremer
    Toulouse School of Economics
    Provision and pricing of childcare in an extensive margin optimal tax model
  • Leandro Lyra
    UERJ/Senado
    The Design of Optimally Balanced Pay-as-you-go Social Security Systems

Distributive Politics & Party Discipline
  • João Gabriel Garcez
    EPGE
    Earmarking for Kin: Family Networks and Pork Barrel in Brazil
  • Eduardo Fabres
    UFRGS
    Party Discipline, Coordination and Political Survival
  • Afik bin Oslan
    Max Planck Institute
    Play Nice, Party Hard

Digital Platforms, Media & Content
  • Chiara Canta
    Toulouse Business School
    Platform entry and price negotiation in the healthcare sector
  • Robert Somogyi
    Budapest University of Technology and Economics
    AI summaries and content discovery
  • Juan D. Moreno-Ternero
    Universidad Pablo de Olavide
    New methods to compensate artists in music streaming platforms

Urban Infrastructure & Housing Markets
  • Taric Latif Padovani
    EPGE
    Optimal Provision of Urban Infrastructure: Theory and Evidence from Brazilian Cities
  • Katherine Cuff
    McMaster University
    Equilibrium Excess Demand in the Low Income Rental Housing Market: Theory and Experimental Evidence

Information and Games
  • Yixuan Shi
    Max Planck
    Communication Leakage, Coordination and Effort in Team Competition
  • Daniel Habermacher
    Universidad de los Andes, Chile
    A Theory of Policy Influence
  • Rafael Veiel
    University of Texas at Austin
    Strong Information Design

Recent Tax Reforms in Brazil
  • Daniel Fogo
    BNDES
    Investment Stimulus Policy in Networks
  • João Maria de Oliveira
    IPEA
    Consumption Taxation, Productivity, and Tax Reform in Brazil: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis
  • Gil Navarro
    FGV EPGE
    Should Governments Tax Commodities Uniformly? Theory and Evidence from Brazil

17:30 - 18:00

Coffee Break

18:00 - 19:30

Policy Session: TBD

Speakers TBD

18:00 - 19:30

Policy Session: TBD

Speakers TBD

20:00 - 22:00

Conference Dinner

Agenda

July 23, Thursday

Morning

9:00 - 9:30

Coffee

9:30 - 11:00

Parallel Sessions

Economics of Education
  • Gustavo Oliveira
    EPGE
    Voting for Managers: Selection Methods in Public Schools
  • Georgy Artemov
    University of Melbourne
    Zoned Out: The Long-Term Consequences of School Choice for Wealth Segregation

Spatial Policy & Local Public Economics
  • Sophie Mathes
    FGV EPGE
    Labor Market Power and Spatial Policies
  • Tatsuya Kusumi
    University of Tokyo
    Taming Tax Competition: The Role of Urban Amenities
  • Robson Soares
    TCE PR
    Public Sector Financing Needs and the Multi-Year Plan Maturity Index in the Municipalities of Paraná

Institutions & the Political Economy of Conflict
  • Rafael Roos Guthmann
    UAH, Santiago
    Political Polycentrism and the Origins of Inclusive Institutions
  • Fabio Mariani
    UCLouvain
    The shadow of Rome: Fascism, nation building and the political legacy of history
  • Felipe Sigrist
    USP
    The Market for Contracted Violence: A Microeconomic Approach to Hired Gunmen

Macro and Financial Policies
  • Humberto Martinez
    Universidad de Chile
    Capital controls on outflows: theory and policy implications
  • Yvan Becard
    PUC Rio
    Is Public Spending Regressive?
  • Caio Machado
    PUC Chile
    Managing overreaction during a run

Dynamic Games and Decisions
  • Ana Elisa Pereira
    Universidad de los Andes, Chile
    Dynamic Network Effects with Fear of Missing Out
  • Benjamin Matta
    FGV EESP
    The Peace-War Cycle
  • Nizar Allouch
    University of Kent
    Default Propagation in Financial Networks

Environmental Policy & Land Use
  • Shai Oliveira-Vaz
    EPGE
    Can Pasture Recovery Curb Deforestation in Brazil? Evidence from a Dynamic Model
  • Caio Moretz-Sohn
    EPGE
    Between Regularization and Contestation: Brazil's Rural Environmental Registry and Land-Use Change in the Amazon
  • Carlos Guilherme Cabrine
    FGV EPGE
    Environmental Regulation and Labor Reallocation: Evidence from a developing economy

11:00 - 11:30

Coffee Break

11:30 - 12:30

Keynote Speakers

  • Steven Berry
    Yale University
  • TBD
12:30 - 14:00

Lunch Break

Agenda

July 23, Thursday

Afternoon | In honor of Aloísio Araujo (80th Birthday)

14:00 - 15:00

Keynote Speakers

  • Bernard Salanié
    Columbia University
  • Sudipta Sarangi
    Virginia Tech
15:00 - 15:30

Coffee Break

15:30 - 17:00

TBD

17:30 - 18:00

Coffee Break

17:30 - 19:00

Policy Session: TBD

Speakers TBD

17:30 - 19:00

Policy Session: TBD

Speakers TBD