Sunday, November 5, 2023
Hilton Copacabana Hotel - Av. Atlântica, 1020 - Copacabana
6:15 p.m.–9:00 p.m.
Registration, Opening Reception, Dinner, and Discussion
Brazilian Foreign Policy: Challenges and Priorities
Welcoming Remarks:
Carlos Ivan Simonsen Leal, President, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil)
Michael Froman, President, Council on Foreign Relations (United States)
Speaker:
Mauro Vieira, Minister of Foreign Affairs, Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Monday, November 6, 2023
Fundação Getulio Vargas headquarters - Praia de Botafogo, 190 - Botafogo
8:15 a.m.
Shuttle transfer from Hilton hotel to FGV
9:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m.
Session One (Hybrid Session)
Increasing Conflict and the Future of World Order
Guiding questions: What are the implications of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Hamas’s attacks on Israel from your country or regional perspective? What do you see as the biggest impact of those conflicts on the future of world order? What other conflicts or issues should the world be prioritizing?
Panelists:
Juan Battaleme, Academic Director,Argentine Council for International Relations (Argentina)
Thomas Gomart, Director, French Institute of International Relations (France)
Carlos Ivan Simonsen Leal, President, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil)
Presider:
James M. Lindsay, Senior Vice President, Director of Studies,and Maurice R. Greenberg Chair, Council on Foreign Relations (United States)
10:30 a.m.–10:45 a.m.
Coffee Break
10:45 a.m.–12:15 p.m.
Session Two
Reshoring, Nearshoring, Friendshoring: The Impact on Economic Growth, Innovation, and Global Value Chains
Guiding questions: Reshoring could cut out some countries that previously benefited from being part of global supply chains. How can these countries develop economic resilience? How can major economic powers ensure middle and emerging economies are not shut out of supply chains? How might reshoring affect people around the world who emerged out of poverty over the past two decades by being part of global supply chains? How can the multilateral system prevent the world from splitting into separate blocs? Are middle and emerging economies being pushed to choose a side? Is reshoring actually occurring, or are value chains shifting to other countries?
Panelists:
Michael Froman, President, Council on Foreign Relations (United States)
Tim Sargent, Distinguished Fellow, Centre for International Governance Innovation (Canada)
Jhanvi Tripathi, Associate Fellow, Observer Research Foundation (India)
Presider:
Christopher Sabatini, Senior Research Fellow for Latin America, U.S. and the Americas Programme, Chatham House (United Kingdom)
12:15 p.m.–1:15 p.m.
Lunch
1:15 p.m.–2:45 p.m.
Session Three
Is a Green World a Safe World? Insights for New Geopolitical Approaches Toward the Energies of the Future
Guiding questions: How will the energy transition change contemporary geopolitical competition? Which issues and regions will become the focus of the geopolitics of energy in the future? How can national governments, regional groups, nongovernmental organizations, and international organizations ensure green technology is effectively developed, shared, and diffused across an increasingly fragmented world? How can countries ensure that critical minerals (e.g., lithium, graphite, rare earth elements, etc.) required for clean technology are responsibly sourced? What norms or rules can be established to ensure green subsidies do not undermine a level playing field in global trade, contribute to fragmentation, and impose large fiscal costs? What should be done to support countries heavily dependent on nonrenewable resources?
Panelists:
Alex Benkenstein, Head of the Climate and Natural Resources Programme, South African Institute of International Affairs (South Africa)
Margherita Bianchi, Head, Energy, Climate and Resources Programme, Institute of International Affairs (Italy)
Mely Caballero-Anthony, Head, Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (Singapore)
Presider:
Daniel Vargas, Head, Bioeconomy Observatory, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil)
2:45 p.m.–3:00 p.m.
Coffee Break
3:00 p.m.–4:30 p.m.
Session Four
Beyond Planet Earth: Who Controls Space? Outer Space Contestation and Collaboration
Guiding questions: What are the major priorities for improving outer space governance? How can international governance structures keep pace with increased human activities in space, including the surging role of new spacefaring nations and private commercial actors? How can the private sector, such as private satellite systems, better coordinate with national governments and international institutions to ensure commercial technologies are responsibly deployed and managed? What new international legal rules or changes to existing frameworks are needed to prevent the militarization of outer space? Is there any way to prevent rising geopolitical competition on Earth from leading to destructive actions in this domain? With multiple countries sending lunar missions in coming years, do we need better ways to deconflict access to the Moon? Should bilateral agreements like the Artemis Accords or specific codes of conduct be used as stopgap measures while new universal legal principles, norms, and rules of responsible behavior are negotiated? What would that process look like?
Panelists:
Esther Brimmer, James H. Binger Senior Fellow in Global Governance, Council on Foreign Relations (United States)
Szymon Zaręba, Head, Global Issues Program, Polish Institute of International Affairs (Poland)
Presider:
Stefan Mair, Director, German Institute for International and Security Affairs (Germany)
4:30 p.m.–5:00 p.m.
Shuttle transfer to hotel (FGV-Hilton)
4:30 p.m.–6:30 p.m.
Free Time
6:30 p.m.–7:00 p.m.
Shuttle transfer from Hilton hotel to dinner and discussion
Julieta de Serpa - Praia do Flamengo, 340 - Flamengo
7:00 p.m.–10:00 p.m.
Reception, Dinner, and Discussion
Geopolitics of Sustainability Standards.
Speaker:
Daniel Vargas, Head, Bioeconomy Observatory, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil)
Moderator:
TBD
Tuesday, November 7, 2023
Fundação Getulio Vargas headquarters - Praia de Botafogo, 190 - Botafogo
8:15 a.m.
Shuttle transfer from Hilton hotel to FGV
9:00 a.m.–10:30 a.m.
Session Five
Latin America in Regional and Global Trade Arrangements
Guiding questions: Have existing regional and subregional schemes for integration in Latin America lived up to their potential? What are the underlying economic trends in Latin America, and what do they bode for inclusive growth and social development in the region? What can be done to encourage greater intraregional trade and better integrate its regional frameworks with the multilateral trading system? What are the challenges and opportunities offered by strengthening ties with Europe, under the European Union-Mercosur Association agreement, or with the United States, under the Americas Partnership for Economic Prosperity? How can Latin America navigate the rising tide of deglobalization and contentious geopolitics with some of its most important economic partners?
Panelists:
Patricio Barreiro, Director, Center for the Implementation of Public Policies Promoting Equity and Growth (Argentina)
Fernando Masi, Director, Center for Analysis and Dissemination of the Paraguayan Economy (Paraguay)
Lia Valls, Associate Researcher, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil)
Bartłomiej Znojek, Latin America Analyst, Polish Institute of International Affairs (Poland)
Presider:
Francisco de Santibañes, President, Argentine Council for International Relations (Argentina)
10:30 a.m.–10:45 a.m.
Coffee Break
10:45 a.m.–12:15 p.m.
Session Six
The Age of Artificial Intelligence: Is Consensus Possible?
Guiding questions: How urgent should nations perceive the risks and threats posed by artificial intelligence (AI)? What are the priority issues the world needs to agree on (e.g., export restrictions, ethics, and algorithms)? Are there any broad principles or standards that countries and technology companies can agree on regarding managing AI development and deployment at the global level? If not, are there any areas of commonality and even guardrails that could be established to at least prevent a dangerous AI race? What is the best forum to discuss the harmonization of AI governance? With the lion’s share of AI innovation originating in only the United States and China, what mechanisms can ensure other countries are not left behind? Can AI be governed like previous technologies or threats (e.g., the International Atomic Energy Agency or Financial Stability Board) or are new governance frameworks required?
Panelists:
Luca Belli, Head, Center for Technology and Society, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil)
Héctor Cárdenas, Board Member, Mexican Council on Foreign Relations (Mexico)
Presider:
Memduh Karakullukçu, Former President, Global Relations Forum (Turkey)
12:15 p.m.
Closing Remarks and Wrap Up
12:15 p.m.–1:30 p.m.
Working Lunch
Discussion with Christian Asinelli
Speaker:
Christian Asinelli, Corporate Vice President, CAF – Development Bank of Latin America and the Caribbean
1:30 p.m.–2:45 p.m.
Public Session
The Future of the World Order: Perspectives from the BRICS, the West, and Beyond
Panelists:
Alex Benkenstein, Head of the Climate and Natural Resources Programme,South African Institute of International Affairs (South Africa)
Mely Caballero-Anthony, Head, Centre for Non-Traditional Security Studies,S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (Singapore)
Michael Froman, President, Council on Foreign Relations (United States)
Carlos Ivan Simonsen Leal, President, Fundação Getulio Vargas (Brazil)
Presider:
Thomas Gomart, Director, French Institute of International Relations (France)
2:45 p.m.
Shuttle transfer from FGV to Hilton hotel
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